STORY

Simulated the 2026 closure of the Strait of Hormuz on the crude oil trade network. The closure hits Asia first. Then the shortfall moves: each importer asks its remaining suppliers for more, but supply is fixed, so every barrel granted is cut from another buyer, who in turn asks its own suppliers. Round after round, the loss spreads until every importer bears the same share of what it still buys. Being exposed to Hormuz doesn't require buying oil from the Gulf.

TECHNOLOGIES

• Python
• UN Comtrade
• Gephi
• Foundry